Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.012161 0.014854 0.018280 0.023078 0.029828 0.039331 0.054425
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008793 0.011680 0.015851 0.022680 0.034415 0.055782 0.104328
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006813 0.009467 0.013580 0.020964 0.035399 0.067029 0.164686
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005662 0.008128 0.012154 0.019916 0.036778 0.080392 0.266304
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004983 0.007364 0.011438 0.019834 0.040073 0.102647 0.508130
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004553 0.006913 0.011138 0.020441 0.045441 0.140333 1.289508
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004151 0.006438 0.010679 0.020535 0.049602 0.183562 3.976707
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003726 0.005859 0.009904 0.019644 0.050273 0.213531 12.568746
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003419 0.005450 0.009397 0.019264 0.052539 0.263176 171.220268
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003272 0.005321 0.009437 0.020311 0.061125 0.408219 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003190 0.005300 0.009703 0.022089 0.075035 0.766362 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003120 0.005293 0.009996 0.024094 0.093442 1.732523 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002907 0.004997 0.009632 0.024131 0.102928 3.349270 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002691 0.004677 0.009164 0.023699 0.109760 6.755439 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002440 0.004254 0.008377 0.021876 0.103985 8.173150 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002250 0.003943 0.007827 0.020765 0.103042 12.992570 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002125 0.003758 0.007570 0.020678 0.111363 51.061796 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002041 0.003655 0.007505 0.021322 0.129020 872296.331751 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001946 0.003514 0.007320 0.021420 0.142195 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001823 0.003304 0.006920 0.020476 0.140917 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001730 0.003152 0.006660 0.020073 0.146881 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001691 0.003120 0.006727 0.021183 0.180714 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001674 0.003134 0.006929 0.023071 0.243710 NaN NaN